She’s melting

The polls are trickling in after Hilly’s really bad, just awful weekend.

Leave aside the headline numbers where Trump is ahead; what is more interesting is the fact that Trump is anywhere close to Clinton at this stage in the race. She is massively outspending him, has most of elite media on her side and she still is not closing the sale.

I said a while ago that my sense is that this is going to be a landslide election. Not a point or two and ten electoral college votes, more like 5-9 points and a hundred EC votes.

The problem Hilly has is that she was supposed to be inevitable. Particularly against Trump. If inevitable slips to somewhat likely a fair number of undecided voters will take another look. Both candidates have strong negatives but Trump’s are pretty much a matter of record. Hillary is just piling negative on top of negative. After all, anyone can get sick, but it takes Hillary to pass out, avoid the hospital and then announce she’s got pneumonia two days after the alleged diagnosis. That simply looks sketchy.

The email leaks are not helping either. Colin Powell pretty clearly does not like the woman and thinks she was pretty abusive trying to pin her email misdeeds on Powell. The DNC pretty clearly sold ambassadorships for donations. None of this is a smoking gun and none of it is fatal; but it adds up to a picture of a candidate who is more than a little untrustworthy.

Part of this election is going to be about who shows up. Trump supporters, in all their old, white, middle class, deplorableness are very enthusiastic. They will show up. Will Hilly’s supporters show up?

The last two Presidential elections saw a black man attract huge black support. Will Hilly have the same success with black voters? I can’t help but be a bit skeptical.  Will the nice suburban, Kate Spade carrying, college educated ladies show up en masse for Hilly? Perhaps, but the question of trustworthiness is significant for this group.

Landslides are sometimes the result of enthusiasm and sometimes the result of indifference. Hilly has to scare the bejesus out of her supporters so they will make the effort to show up. Trump makes an excellent bogyman but is he scary enough? I don’t think he is.

The first debate is going to be Yuge. Trump has to walk the line between defeating Hilly and bullying her. If he comes off as a bully he loses, if he behaves like a gent he’ll go a long way toward eliminating the bully image. My bet is that he knows that and will be charming as he points out that Hillary lied to congress, lied to the FBI, should be charged with obstruction of justice, gave us ISIS and watched from the sidelines as four Americans died in Benghazi. It will be fun to watch.

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9 thoughts on “She’s melting

    • Terry Rudden says:

      It’s always difficult to determine whether Trump supporters simply cannot read, or whether they suffer from some strange bipolar condition that translates everything into simple Manichean absolutes.

      Let’s test that. Bonnibrai, do you see ANY difference between these two concepts:

      a) “A Clinton campaign staffer had, in fact, circulated the Birther conspiracy theory.”

      b) “Hillary Clinton and her campaign of 2008 started the birther controversy.”

      There are actually a few differences there. Can you spot them?

  1. Terry Rudden says:

    So just to be clear, Jay, before I waste both your time and mine with some cut and pastes:
    a) Are you actually under the impression that your link establishes the accuracy of Trump’s incredible statement, that “Hillary Clinton and her campaign of 2008 started the birther controversy”? Or,
    b) Are you posting that link because you hope no-one will actually follow it?

    • Jay Currie says:

      So a senior editor says Syd pitched the story to him. Assorted other MSM people have weighed in saying the Clinton Campaign in 2008 pushed that story as well as similar stories suggesting that Obama was “fundamentally foreign”.

      I don’t think it is worth your while to cut and paste a rebuttal because this is a 24 hour, own the news cycle again, piece of Trumpery. It is one more nail in Hilly’s coffin but the take away will be that Trump has confirmed that the evidence is that Obama is American contrary to what Hilly and her crew were saying in 2008. Providing absolute proof that Hilly and her crew said no such thing is a) impossible because of the facts, b) impossible because proving a negative almost always is, c) irrelevant because the damage to Hilly is already done.

      Trump is a lot smarter than he appears. He set this up, bushwacked the genius press, put the birther issue behind him and stood on Hilly’s oxygen hose going into the weekend. Well played that man!

      • bonnibrai says:

        ”stood on Hilly’s oxygen hose’…Priceless!

      • Terry Rudden says:

        It seems a pity, Jay, but I don’t think you’re capable of honesty. Not here, anyway. I hope for your sake that’s just because you feel compelled to play this role in this venue. See you at Dawg’s, perhaps, where integrity is still valued.

  2. Jay Currie says:

    And now a second, lefty journalist is confirming Sid as the source of the Hilly 2008 birther push. Terry, I am being entirely honest in my assessment that Clinton 2008 pushed the birther meme. You don’t want to believe it – largely, I suspect because it rather destroys one avenue of Trump demonization – and so you accuse me of dishonesty and playing a role. As ever, that is not an argument, it is a rather sad little slag.

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